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JOURNAL OF APPLIED BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS

The Effect of Product Demand Decline on Investments in Innovations:
Evidence from the U.S. Defense Industry

Author(s): Donald W. Gribbin, Hong Qian, Ke Zhong

Citation: Donald W. Gribbin, Hong Qian, Ke Zhong, (2012) "The Effect of Product Demand Decline on Investments in Innovations:
Evidence from the U.S. Defense Industry," Vol. 13, Iss. 3, pp. 48 - 62

Article Type: Research paper

Publisher: North American Business Press

Abstract:

The end of the Cold War led to a substantial decline in defense product demand. This study investigates
the effects of product demand decline on defense firms’ investments in R&D for innovations. Our
evidence indicates significant lower levels of R&D intensity for the low demand period (1993 to 1998)
than for the high demand period (1984 to 1989). We also find significant declines in the defense firms'
return on assets over the period, which is mainly attributable to a significant decrease in the firms'
efficiency of using assets to produce sales. The defense firms, despite decline in defense product sales,
generally maintained their total sales by partially shifting their capacity to commercial markets, which
might be at the sacrifice of profitability, operating efficiency, and R&D investments for innovations.